SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): China’s potential fiscal stimulus is stirring excitement in the iron ore and steel markets, pushing iron ore futures higher on Dalian and Singapore exchanges.
What does this mean?
Iron ore and steel prices are climbing as traders anticipate further fiscal measures from China, a dominant player in the steel industry. The January iron ore contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange saw a 2.87% increase, reaching 807.5 yuan per metric ton, while the Singapore Exchange saw a 2.11% rise to $108.45 per ton. Steel benchmarks in Shanghai followed suit, with gains across rebar, hot-rolled coil, and wire rod. These price boosts are tied to China's new fiscal policies, which have improved market sentiment, fueling profit-making among more integrated steel mills and boosting their operational rates. However, China's economic landscape remains uncertain, plagued by deflationary pressures and lack of clear stimulus details. While Beijing plans additional 'counter-cyclical measures,' the specifics are awaited. ING analysts believe potent fiscal stimulus could mitigate deflation and economic frailty.
Why should I care?
For markets: Stimulus whispers ripple through.
The anticipation of China's fiscal measures is driving an uptrend in commodity prices, affecting not just iron ore and steel, but also increasing prices for inputs like coking coal and coke on the Dalian Exchange. This could indicate a positive shift for sectors reliant on these materials, although the broader market impact will depend on the actual implementation of China's policies.
The bigger picture: Balancing on a stimulus beam.
China’s economic future hangs in uncertainty, complicated by deflation and weak consumer spending. The global markets are watching closely, as robust fiscal actions could be a game changer, potentially stabilizing not just China’s economy but having ripple effects on international trade and commodity markets. The world waits to see how China navigates its economic challenges and what impact this will have globally.
Courtesy: www.finimize.com
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