SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): Gold prices slipped by 0.2% to $2,651.99 per ounce, stirred by a strengthening US dollar that has unsettled investor sentiment. With US gold futures also dipping by 0.3%, metals markets are feeling the squeeze from evolving economic expectations.
What does this mean?
The US dollar index gained 0.1%, nearing a two-month high, making gold less attractive to international investors and dimming its shine as a safe-haven asset. Although markets foresee an 89% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November, tempered expectations are propping up the dollar. Stable production costs, demonstrated by the unchanged US producer price index, further complicate the picture. Meanwhile, China's plans to increase debt to spur its economy, coupled with easing inflation and intensifying deflation in September, are fueling uncertainties that shape global economic approaches.
Why should I care?
For markets: Dollar strength pulls metal values down.
The rising US dollar presents a challenge for gold and other metals like silver, platinum, and palladium, which saw declines of 1.3%, 1.2%, and 1.6% respectively. A stronger dollar makes these commodities pricier for those holding different currencies, reducing demand and exerting downward pressure on prices. Market players are closely eyeing US retail sales data and Fed official comments for insights on interest rate directions, key factors that will mold market sentiment.
The bigger picture: Global shifts in economic dynamics.
China's potential increase in debt to boost its economy adds an intriguing dimension. With inflation easing and deflation deepening, China's decisions can affect global commodity demand, altering market dynamics. These fiscal strategies, alongside US monetary policy expectations, are crucial in shaping both short-term and long-term economic strategies worldwide.
Courtesy: www.finimize.com
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